-13pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 12 pp at Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington vs the 2003–2007 baseline (55.0% vs 67.4%).
Texas · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington
Arlington, Texas. 319 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+46%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington are 46% above 6-year earnings ($21.2k → $31.1k).
+32%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington rose 32% between 2021 and 2024 (284 → 374).
+28%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington rose 28% between 2006 and 2009 (70.8% → 90.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$31,055+46% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$21,209
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry55.0%+7% · '97→'09
Texas median 51.8%$7,916+286% · '97→'20
At program completion319+185% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS85.2%+54% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $7,916 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $31,055 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+54%
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington · retention rose
62.0% → 95.7%
+122%
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington · undergrad enrollment rose
131 → 374
+286%
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington · median debt rose
$2,053 → $7,917
+27%
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington · pell share rose
54.5% → 69.4%
+27%
Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington · earnings_median_10yr rose
$24,500 → $31,055
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$287,542
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $24,214
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington graduates earn $X” — not “Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Ogle School Hair Skin Nails-Arlington caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.