+33%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Southwest Texas Junior College rose 33% between 2006 and 2009 ($2.6k → $3.5k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly associate's
Southwest Texas Junior College
Uvalde, Texas. 3,170 undergraduate students. 30 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Southwest Texas Junior College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+12%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Southwest Texas Junior College rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 (3.0k → 3.3k).
+12%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Southwest Texas Junior College rose 12% between 2006 and 2009 (17.1% → 19.1%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$35,563+17% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$30,305
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry33.3%+35% · '97→'09
Texas median 51.8%$5,750+33% · '97→'09
At program completion3,170+20% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS61.4%+8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$2,646+189% · '00→'24
out-of-state $6,294SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.2%Median federal debt $5,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $35,563 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+35%
Southwest Texas Junior College · completion · 150% rose
14.1% → 19.1%
+173%
Southwest Texas Junior College · in-state tuition rose
$915 → $2,646
+227%
Southwest Texas Junior College · out-of-state tuition rose
$1,924 → $6,294
+33%
Southwest Texas Junior College · median debt rose
$2,625 → $3,500
+353%
Southwest Texas Junior College · pell share rose
7.3% → 33.2%
+22%
Southwest Texas Junior College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$29,100 → $35,563
+24%
Southwest Texas Junior College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$26,700 → $33,112
+32%
Southwest Texas Junior College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$22,900 → $30,305
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$81,744Criminal Justice and Corrections.$48,931Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants.$46,642Precision Metal Working.$40,790Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies.$40,290Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$36,342Criminal Justice and Corrections.$36,243Business Administration, Management and Operations.$30,793Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician (HAC, HACR, HVAC, HVACR).$28,312
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
9 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
PRECISION PRODUCTION · CIP 48
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Southwest Texas Junior College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$2,564
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 38
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $9,518
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Southwest Texas Junior College graduates earn $X” — not “Southwest Texas Junior College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Southwest Texas Junior College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.