Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at The College of Health Care Professions-Austin rose 49% between 2006 and 2009 ($4.9k → $7.3k).
Austin, Texas. 829 undergraduate students. 8 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
Median federal debt at exit at The College of Health Care Professions-Austin rose 49% between 2006 and 2009 ($4.9k → $7.3k).
10-year earnings at The College of Health Care Professions-Austin are 55% above the for-profit certificate-predominant peer median ($38.9k vs $25.2k).
150%-time completion at The College of Health Care Professions-Austin fell 39% between 2006 and 2009 (71.3% → 43.1%).
150%-time completion fell 17 pp at The College of Health Care Professions-Austin vs the 2003–2007 baseline (52.3% vs 69.4%).
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Median federal debt $9,096 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $38,922 (10y after entry).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
72.7% → 43.1%
87.0% → 65.8%
188 → 974
$3,543 → $7,318
87.1% → 67.2%
$25,900 → $38,922
$26,200 → $33,685
$24,700 → $34,375
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending The College of Health Care Professions-Austin caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.