+34%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at The University of Texas at San Antonio rose 34% between 2006 and 2009 ($6.7k → $9.0k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
UTSA
San Antonio, Texas. 29,675 undergraduate students. 202 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at UTSA
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+12%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at The University of Texas at San Antonio rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 (28.8% → 32.3%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$57,131+23% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$46,340
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry51.2%+116% · '97→'24
Texas median 51.8%$15,000+125% · '97→'09
At program completion29,675+113% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS79.4%+29% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time88.5%-13% · '01→'24
latest cohort$8,991+225% · '00→'24
out-of-state $21,965SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%Median federal debt $15,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $57,131 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+116%
UTSA · completion · 150% rose
24.3% → 52.6%
+591%
UTSA · completion · 100% rose
4.7% → 32.3%
+29%
UTSA · retention rose
62.0% → 79.8%
+113%
UTSA · undergrad enrollment rose
14,326 → 30,580
+225%
UTSA · in-state tuition rose
$2,774 → $9,011
+178%
UTSA · out-of-state tuition rose
$7,934 → $22,051
+125%
UTSA · median debt rose
$4,000 → $9,000
+28%
UTSA · pell share rose
34.3% → 44.1%
+27%
UTSA · earnings_median_10yr rose
$44,900 → $57,131
+28%
UTSA · earnings_median_8yr rose
$41,200 → $52,616
+26%
UTSA · earnings_median_6yr rose
$36,800 → $46,340
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$115,202Computer and Information Sciences, General.$107,090Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods.$93,795Accounting and Related Services.$93,212Building/Construction Finishing, Management, and Inspection.$92,856Management Information Systems and Services.$89,324Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering.$89,136Computer/Information Technology Administration and Management.$87,709Mechanical Engineering.$86,214Civil Engineering.$86,096Educational Administration and Supervision.$82,441Accounting and Related Services.$71,566Business/Managerial Economics.$71,403Finance and Financial Management Services.$69,265Architecture.$68,621Educational Administration and Supervision.$66,924Social Work.$66,291Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$65,390Public Administration.$64,780Mathematics.$64,219Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.$63,892City/Urban, Community and Regional Planning.$63,247Human Resources Management and Services.$62,533Business Administration, Management and Operations.$62,394
Showing top 24 of 55 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
55 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
CONSTRUCTION TRADES · CIP 46
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$62,394Marketing.$58,952Accounting and Related Services.$71,566Business Administration, Management and Operations.$115,202Finance and Financial Management Services.$69,265Management Information Systems and Services.$89,324Business/Managerial Economics.$71,403Accounting and Related Services.$93,212Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods.$93,795Entrepreneurial and Small Business Operations.$41,195Human Resources Management and Services.$62,533Business/Commerce, General.$55,513Hospitality Administration/Management.$50,060
HISTORY · CIP 54
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
ARCHITECTURE · CIP 04
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at UTSA
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$95,266
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 18
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $9,699
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 42
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“UTSA graduates earn $X” — not “UTSA makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending UTSA caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.