+46%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas rose 46% between 2017 and 2020 ($22.0k → $32.0k).
Virginia · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
Manassas, Virginia. 189 undergraduate students. 3 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.6% → 0.0%).
-29%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas fell 29% between 2006 and 2009 (60.3% → 42.7%).
+69%
For-profit certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas are 69% above the for-profit certificate-predominant peer median ($46.4k vs $27.5k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Virginia
Each tile compares this institution to the Virginia median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$46,441-10% · 6→10y
Virginia median $44,813$51,880
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry40.0%-7% · '05→'09
Virginia median 50.7%$19,500+120% · '05→'20
At program completion189+100% · '05→'24
latest IPEDS59.4%+66% · '06→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$16,757+25% · '10→'24
out-of-state $16,757SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.6%Median federal debt $19,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $46,441 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+66%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · retention rose
43.0% → 71.4%
+68%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · undergrad enrollment rose
136 → 272
+120%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · median debt rose
$14,500 → $31,959
-100%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · cohort default rate fell
24.4% → 0.0%
-44%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · pell share fell
49.4% → 27.5%
+24%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · earnings_median_10yr rose
$37,400 → $46,441
+58%
Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas · earnings_median_6yr rose
$32,900 → $51,880
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$347,069
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $25,670
- HS-only baseline · VA
- $39,800
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 47
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Virginia
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas graduates earn $X” — not “Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Aviation Institute of Maintenance-Manassas caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.