-58%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Cayce/Reilly School of Massage fell 58% between 2021 and 2024 (45 → 19).
Virginia · Private nonprofit · Predominantly certificates
Cayce/Reilly School of Massage
Virginia Beach, Virginia. 25 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Cayce/Reilly School of Massage
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Cayce/Reilly School of Massage fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.9% → 0.0%).
-41%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Cayce/Reilly School of Massage fell 40% between 2013 and 2016 (70.0% → 41.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Virginia
Each tile compares this institution to the Virginia median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$19,338-11% · 6→10y
Virginia median $44,813$21,679
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry92.7%
Virginia median 50.7%$7,389
At program completion25-77% · '10→'24
latest IPEDS—-36% · '10→'16
first-time, full-time—+7% · '10→'13
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.1%Median federal debt $7,389 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $19,338 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
-36%
Cayce/Reilly School of Massage · retention fell
65.5% → 41.7%
-33%
Cayce/Reilly School of Massage · undergrad enrollment fell
84 → 19
+223%
Cayce/Reilly School of Massage · pell share rose
22.0% → 71.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Cayce/Reilly School of Massage
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$384,889
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $18,055
- HS-only baseline · VA
- $39,800
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Virginia
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Cayce/Reilly School of Massage graduates earn $X” — not “Cayce/Reilly School of Massage makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Cayce/Reilly School of Massage caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.