-19%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Saint Martin's University fell 19% between 2021 and 2024 (79.5% → 64.6%).
Washington · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Saint Martin's University
Lacey, Washington. 1,254 undergraduate students. 52 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Saint Martin's University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-15%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Saint Martin's University fell 15% between 2021 and 2024 (60.9% → 51.9%).
-14%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Saint Martin's University fell 14% between 2021 and 2024 (1.3k → 1.2k).
+12%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Saint Martin's University rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 ($40.7k → $45.5k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Washington
Each tile compares this institution to the Washington median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$62,092+7% · 6→10y
Washington median $47,350$57,998
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry57.1%
Washington median 46.8%$15,625+109% · '97→'20
At program completion1,254+17% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS73.3%-13% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time75.9%-8% · '01→'24
latest cohort$44,210+208% · '00→'24
out-of-state $44,210SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $15,625 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $62,092 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+1038%
Saint Martin's University · completion · 150% rose
0.0% → 51.9%
-13%
Saint Martin's University · retention fell
74.0% → 64.6%
+208%
Saint Martin's University · in-state tuition rose
$14,760 → $45,510
+208%
Saint Martin's University · out-of-state tuition rose
$14,760 → $45,510
+109%
Saint Martin's University · median debt rose
$10,759 → $22,500
-100%
Saint Martin's University · cohort default rate fell
6.2% → 0.0%
+63%
Saint Martin's University · pell share rose
25.6% → 41.9%
+25%
Saint Martin's University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$49,700 → $62,092
+33%
Saint Martin's University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$45,500 → $60,492
+51%
Saint Martin's University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$38,500 → $57,998
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$95,489Civil Engineering.$92,987Mechanical Engineering.$79,969Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$72,068Business Administration, Management and Operations.$71,777Biology, General.$69,773Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$60,990Business Administration, Management and Operations.$60,842Social Work.$59,582Accounting and Related Services.$59,068Criminal Justice and Corrections.$57,229Psychology, General.$42,805
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
12 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Saint Martin's University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$331,114
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 13
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $19,090
- HS-only baseline · WA
- $41,200
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Washington
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Saint Martin's University graduates earn $X” — not “Saint Martin's University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Saint Martin's University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.