-33%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division fell 33% between 2021 and 2024 (781 → 527).
Arizona · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division
Avondale, Arizona. 567 undergraduate students. 2 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.7% → 0.0%).
-30%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 29% at Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division vs the 2018–2022 baseline (567 vs 804).
+47%
For-profit certificate-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division are 46% above the for-profit certificate-predominant peer median ($48.3k vs $33.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Arizona
Each tile compares this institution to the Arizona median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$48,341+12% · 6→10y
Arizona median $39,817$42,989
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry69.1%+4% · '98→'10
Arizona median 43.0%$10,247+105% · '97→'20
At program completion567-40% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS77.3%+2% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.8%Median federal debt $10,247 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $48,341 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-40%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · undergrad enrollment fell
876 → 527
+105%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · median debt rose
$6,390 → $13,097
-100%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · cohort default rate fell
16.0% → 0.0%
+175%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · pell share rose
17.2% → 47.3%
+34%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · earnings_median_10yr rose
$36,200 → $48,341
+28%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · earnings_median_8yr rose
$36,200 → $46,267
+21%
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division · earnings_median_6yr rose
$35,400 → $42,989
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Arizona
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division graduates earn $X” — not “Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.