-52%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Career Technical Institute fell 52% between 2021 and 2024 (479 → 232).
District of Columbia · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Career Technical Institute
Washington, District of Columbia. 370 undergraduate students. 15 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Career Technical Institute
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Career Technical Institute fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.6% → 0.0%).
-48%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Career Technical Institute fell 48% between 2021 and 2024 (72.5% → 38.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. District of Columbia
Each tile compares this institution to the District of Columbia median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$30,227+49% · 6→10y
District of Columbia median $49,020$20,259
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry55.8%-28% · '97→'09
District of Columbia median 55.8%$7,074+105% · '97→'20
At program completion370+32% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS81.5%-40% · '13→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—±0% · '08→'09
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.1%Median federal debt $7,074 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $30,227 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-28%
Career Technical Institute · completion · 150% fell
83.0% → 59.5%
-40%
Career Technical Institute · retention fell
63.3% → 38.0%
+28%
Career Technical Institute · undergrad enrollment rose
176 → 232
+105%
Career Technical Institute · median debt rose
$3,856 → $7,917
-100%
Career Technical Institute · cohort default rate fell
21.9% → 0.0%
-28%
Career Technical Institute · earnings_median_6yr fell
$28,300 → $20,259
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
4 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Career Technical Institute
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$575,277
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $20,268
- HS-only baseline · DC
- $47,200
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in District of Columbia
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Career Technical Institute graduates earn $X” — not “Career Technical Institute makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Career Technical Institute caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.