-26pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 26 pp at Orange Technical College-South Campus vs the 2003–2007 baseline (47.0% vs 72.8%).
Florida · Public · Predominantly certificates
Orange Technical College-South Campus
Orlando, Florida. 1,157 undergraduate students. 28 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Orange Technical College-South Campus
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+19%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Orange Technical College-South Campus rose 19% between 2021 and 2024 (944 → 1.1k).
-21%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Orange Technical College-South Campus fell 21% between 2006 and 2009 (50.2% → 39.5%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Florida
Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$33,350+1% · 6→10y
Florida median $36,288$32,968
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry47.0%-61% · '02→'09
Florida median 65.6%—
At program completion1,157-60% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS77.6%+3372% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
-61%
Orange Technical College-South Campus · completion · 150% fell
100.0% → 39.5%
+1349%
Orange Technical College-South Campus · retention rose
2.0% → 69.4%
-60%
Orange Technical College-South Campus · undergrad enrollment fell
2,817 → 1,124
+122%
Orange Technical College-South Campus · pell share rose
2.6% → 8.7%
+30%
Orange Technical College-South Campus · earnings_median_10yr rose
$25,600 → $33,350
+39%
Orange Technical College-South Campus · earnings_median_6yr rose
$23,700 → $32,968
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
2 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
CONSTRUCTION TRADES · CIP 46
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Orange Technical College-South Campus
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Electrical and Power Transmission Installers · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Orange Technical College-South Campus(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Florida
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Orange Technical College-South Campus graduates earn $X” — not “Orange Technical College-South Campus makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Orange Technical College-South Campus caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.