First-year retention
First-year retention at Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg fell 29% between 2021 and 2024 (63.1% → 44.6%).
Saint Petersburg, Florida. 1,421 undergraduate students. 33 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
First-year retention at Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg fell 29% between 2021 and 2024 (63.1% → 44.6%).
Undergraduate enrollment at Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg rose 24% between 2021 and 2024 (655 → 810).
150%-time completion fell 28 pp at Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg vs the 2003–2007 baseline (53.4% vs 81.3%).
In-state tuition at Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg fell 15% between 2002 and 2003 ($2.2k → $1.8k).
Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
89.0% → 44.6%
0 → 810
12.2% → 24.0%
$26,800 → $36,188
$24,600 → $31,079
$23,100 → $31,799
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Pinellas Technical College-St. Petersburg caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.