ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at UF

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at University of Florida fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.9% → 0.0%).

PEER OUTLIER · TRENDING BETTER+27%

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

10-year earnings at University of Florida are 27% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($71.6k vs $56.5k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Florida

Each tile compares this institution to the Florida median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y

$71,588+27% · 6→10y

Florida median $36,288

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y

$56,398

Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry

COMPLETION · 150%

91.5%+42% · '97→'24

Florida median 65.6%

MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT

$14,000+60% · '97→'20

At program completion

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT

34,102+25% · '96→'24

latest IPEDS

RETENTION

97.1%+4% · '04→'24

first-time, full-time

ADMISSION RATE

24.0%-60% · '01→'24

latest cohort

IN-STATE TUITION

$6,381+229% · '00→'24

out-of-state $28,659

SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05

Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →

SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

2.6%

0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $14,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $71,588 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 1996–202435,629

Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF

COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202491.1%

150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$15,000

Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD

COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+42%

UF · completion · 150% rose

64.1% → 91.1%

COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+157%

UF · completion · 100% rose

29.4% → 75.7%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 1996→2024+25%

UF · undergrad enrollment rose

28,463 → 35,629

IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+229%

UF · in-state tuition rose

$1,941 → $6,381

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+267%

UF · out-of-state tuition rose

$7,812 → $28,659

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+60%

UF · median debt rose

$9,373 → $15,000

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%

UF · cohort default rate fell

3.0% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+33%

UF · earnings_median_10yr rose

$53,900 → $71,588

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+31%

UF · earnings_median_8yr rose

$49,700 → $65,342

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+34%

UF · earnings_median_6yr rose

$42,100 → $56,398

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

Showing top 24 of 129 ranked programs.403 TOTAL PROGRAMS

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

129 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11

Computer and Information Sciences, General.Bachelor's Degree$128,097308 grads Computer Systems Analysis.Master's Degree$118,505180 grads

EDUCATION · CIP 13

Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.Master's Degree$58,570123 grads Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.Master's Degree$55,63165 grads Curriculum and Instruction.Master's Degree$65,22560 grads Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.Bachelor's Degree$51,33657 grads Special Education and Teaching.Master's Degree$56,90733 grads Student Counseling and Personnel Services.Master's Degree$56,61228 grads Educational Administration and Supervision.Doctoral Degree$89,47614 grads Educational Administration and Supervision.Master's Degree$72,93113 grads Curriculum and Instruction.Doctoral Degree$78,99512 grads Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.Doctoral Degree$94,52211 grads

ENGINEERING · CIP 14

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at UF

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Program

Family income

Discount rate · 5.0%

Horizon · 40 years

Apply Dale-Krueger selection shrinkage

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE

$1,536,445

Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%

BREAKEVEN

Year 6

First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero

Cost per year: $8,189
HS-only baseline · FL: $35,400
Years to complete: 6
CIP family: 52

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS

Same sector and degree mix in Florida

Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.

TAMPA$57.7k

UF

3-year cohort default rate

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

Institution-wide

UF · completion · 150% rose

UF · completion · 100% rose

UF · undergrad enrollment rose

UF · in-state tuition rose

UF · out-of-state tuition rose

UF · median debt rose

UF · cohort default rate fell

UF · earnings_median_10yr rose

UF · earnings_median_8yr rose

UF · earnings_median_6yr rose

COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11

EDUCATION · CIP 13

ENGINEERING · CIP 14

ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15

FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16

FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19

LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22

ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23

BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26

MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27

MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30

PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31

PHILOSOPHY & RELIGIOUS STUDIES · CIP 38

PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45

VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

HISTORY · CIP 54

AGRICULTURE · CIP 01

NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03

ARCHITECTURE · CIP 04

AREA, ETHNIC & CULTURAL STUDIES · CIP 05

COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09

USF

FSU

UCF

FIU

FAU

“UF graduates earn $X” — not “UF makes you earn $X”