-79%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls fell 79% between 2021 and 2024 (90 → 19).
Idaho · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls
TWIN FALLS, Idaho. 62 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (8.5% → 0.0%).
+10%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls rose 10% between 2014 and 2017 ($12.5k → $13.8k).
+10%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls rose 10% between 2014 and 2017 ($12.5k → $13.8k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Idaho
Each tile compares this institution to the Idaho median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$27,947+7% · 6→10y
Idaho median $30,543$26,209
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry56.9%
Idaho median 64.1%$4,750
At program completion62-14% · '10→'24
latest IPEDS66.7%+13% · '10→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—+38% · '10→'17
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.3%Median federal debt $4,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $27,947 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
+13%
Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls · retention rose
72.4% → 81.8%
+38%
Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls · in-state tuition rose
$10,000 → $13,750
+38%
Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls · out-of-state tuition rose
$10,000 → $13,750
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Idaho
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls graduates earn $X” — not “Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Paul Mitchell the School-Twin Falls caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.