-42%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at Headmasters School of Hair Design are 42% below 6-year earnings ($30.6k → $17.7k).
Idaho · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Headmasters School of Hair Design
Lewiston, Idaho. 48 undergraduate students. 2 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Headmasters School of Hair Design
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+254%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Headmasters School of Hair Design rose 254% between 2021 and 2024 (26 → 92).
-32%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Headmasters School of Hair Design fell 32% between 2006 and 2009 (98.3% → 66.7%).
-21pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 21 pp at Headmasters School of Hair Design vs the 2003–2007 baseline (64.0% vs 85.4%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Idaho
Each tile compares this institution to the Idaho median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$17,707-42% · 6→10y
Idaho median $30,543$30,586
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry64.0%-21% · '97→'09
Idaho median 64.1%$10,556+286% · '97→'20
At program completion48+241% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS83.3%+24% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
7.9%Median federal debt $10,556 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $17,707 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-21%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · completion · 150% fell
84.0% → 66.7%
+24%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · retention rose
70.0% → 86.7%
+33%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · undergrad enrollment rose
27 → 92
+286%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · median debt rose
$2,734 → $10,556
-100%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · cohort default rate fell
23.0% → 0.0%
+21%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · earnings_median_10yr rose
$14,500 → $17,707
+76%
Headmasters School of Hair Design · earnings_median_8yr rose
$11,200 → $22,573
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Headmasters School of Hair Design
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$154,738
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $17,947
- HS-only baseline · ID
- $35,100
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 12
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Idaho
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Headmasters School of Hair Design graduates earn $X” — not “Headmasters School of Hair Design makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Headmasters School of Hair Design caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.