-20%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 20% at Bethany College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (583 vs 732).
Kansas · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Bethany College
Lindsborg, Kansas. 583 undergraduate students. 37 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Bethany College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Bethany College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (5.0% → 0.0%).
-18%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Bethany College fell 18% between 2021 and 2024 (690 → 569).
+17%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Bethany College rose 17% between 2021 and 2024 (30.4% → 35.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kansas
Each tile compares this institution to the Kansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$49,694+22% · 6→10y
Kansas median $45,407$40,805
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry28.7%-35% · '01→'24
Kansas median 46.4%$9,500+280% · '97→'20
At program completion583-16% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS49.0%-11% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time78.6%-21% · '01→'24
latest cohort$31,946+167% · '00→'24
out-of-state $31,946SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.5%Median federal debt $9,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $49,694 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-35%
Bethany College · completion · 150% fell
54.9% → 35.7%
-43%
Bethany College · completion · 100% fell
49.1% → 28.2%
-11%
Bethany College · retention fell
48.0% → 42.5%
+167%
Bethany College · in-state tuition rose
$12,349 → $33,000
+167%
Bethany College · out-of-state tuition rose
$12,349 → $33,000
+280%
Bethany College · median debt rose
$6,125 → $23,250
-100%
Bethany College · cohort default rate fell
16.8% → 0.0%
+22%
Bethany College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$40,800 → $49,694
+23%
Bethany College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$38,000 → $46,779
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Bethany College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Health and Physical Education/Fitness · Bachelor's Degree at Bethany College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kansas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Bethany College graduates earn $X” — not “Bethany College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Bethany College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.