Kansas · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's

Sterling College

Sterling, Kansas. 569 undergraduate students. 46 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Sterling College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

PEER OUTLIER · WARNING-12%

Private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer

10-year earnings at Sterling College are 12% below the private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($45.8k vs $52.3k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+18%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Sterling College rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 ($28.5k → $33.7k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+18%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at Sterling College rose 18% between 2021 and 2024 ($28.5k → $33.7k).

COMPLETION DROP · TRENDING WORSE-18pp

150%-time completion

150%-time completion fell 17 pp at Sterling College vs the 2018–2022 baseline (29.0% vs 46.5%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Kansas

Each tile compares this institution to the Kansas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$45,846+13% · 6→10y
Kansas median $45,407
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$40,722
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
29.0%+6% · '97→'24
Kansas median 46.4%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$12,000+302% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
569-17% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
58.9%-13% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
53.0%-18% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$32,200+191% · '00→'24
out-of-state $32,200
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.5%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $12,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $45,846 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024538
70141119962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997202441.3%
63%29%19972024
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$24,625
$26,000$5,50019972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
RETENTION · 20042024-13%

Sterling College · retention fell

58.0% → 50.3%

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+191%

Sterling College · in-state tuition rose

$11,582 → $33,700

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20002024+191%

Sterling College · out-of-state tuition rose

$11,582 → $33,700

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+302%

Sterling College · median debt rose

$6,125 → $24,625

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Sterling College · cohort default rate fell

13.9% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+28%

Sterling College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$35,900 → $45,846

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+28%

Sterling College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$33,200 → $42,526

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+31%

Sterling College · earnings_median_6yr rose

$31,200 → $40,722

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

1 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Sterling College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$138,509
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 20
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 20year 0year 39
Cost per year
$21,760
HS-only baseline · KS
$36,100
Years to complete
4
CIP family
31

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Sterling College graduates earn $X” — not “Sterling College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Sterling College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →