-15pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 15 pp at Appalachian Beauty School vs the 2003–2007 baseline (64.7% vs 79.9%).
Kentucky · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Appalachian Beauty School
Belfry, Kentucky. 43 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Appalachian Beauty School
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-60%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Appalachian Beauty School fell 60% between 2011 and 2012 (50.0% → 20.0%).
-13%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Appalachian Beauty School fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (65.7% → 57.1%).
+25%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Appalachian Beauty School rose 25% between 2006 and 2009 (64.0% → 80.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kentucky
Each tile compares this institution to the Kentucky median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Kentucky median $37,114—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry64.7%+12% · '97→'09
Kentucky median 49.7%—
At program completion43+29% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS100.0%+281% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
+281%
Appalachian Beauty School · retention rose
15.0% → 57.1%
-60%
Appalachian Beauty School · cohort default rate fell
50.0% → 20.0%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Appalachian Beauty School
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Appalachian Beauty School(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kentucky
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Appalachian Beauty School graduates earn $X” — not “Appalachian Beauty School makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Appalachian Beauty School caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.