+144%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Bryan University rose 144% between 2006 and 2009 ($8.1k → $19.9k).
Missouri · Private for-profit · Predominantly associate's
Bryan University
Springfield, Missouri. 150 undergraduate students. 24 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Bryan University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-26pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 26 pp at Bryan University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (27.5% vs 53.5%).
-17%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Bryan University fell 17% between 2021 and 2024 (174 → 144).
-10%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Bryan University fell 10% between 2009 and 2012 (79.0% → 70.8%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$28,725+1% · 6→10y
Missouri median $40,979$28,498
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry27.5%-10% · '97→'24
Missouri median 59.3%$16,999+488% · '97→'20
At program completion150+140% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS—-29% · '04→'12
first-time, full-time—+20% · '01→'12
latest cohort$15,868+208% · '01→'09
out-of-state $15,868SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
7.9%Median federal debt $16,999 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $28,725 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-29%
Bryan University · retention fell
100.0% → 70.8%
+42%
Bryan University · undergrad enrollment rose
60 → 144
+208%
Bryan University · in-state tuition rose
$6,452 → $19,853
+146%
Bryan University · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,452 → $15,868
+488%
Bryan University · median debt rose
$3,869 → $22,764
-100%
Bryan University · cohort default rate fell
25.9% → 0.0%
+23%
Bryan University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$22,800 → $27,934
+29%
Bryan University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$22,100 → $28,498
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$35,943Health and Medical Administrative Services.$35,305Business/Commerce, General.$34,078Criminal Justice and Corrections.$32,304Health and Medical Administrative Services.$29,794Allied Health and Medical Assisting Services.$28,476Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$27,047Business/Commerce, General.$26,107
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
8 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Bryan University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$113,916
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $18,139
- HS-only baseline · MO
- $35,100
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Bryan University graduates earn $X” — not “Bryan University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Bryan University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.