+36%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Missouri Western State University rose 35% between 2021 and 2024 ($15.4k → $20.9k).
Missouri · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Missouri Western State University
Saint Joseph, Missouri. 2,372 undergraduate students. 75 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Missouri Western State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-31%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 31% at Missouri Western State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (2.4k vs 3.4k).
-25%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Missouri Western State University fell 25% between 2021 and 2024 (3.0k → 2.2k).
-11%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Missouri Western State University fell 11% between 2021 and 2024 (60.2% → 53.8%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$42,647+14% · 6→10y
Missouri median $40,979$37,499
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry39.8%+44% · '97→'24
Missouri median 59.3%$11,920+399% · '97→'20
At program completion2,372-53% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS59.3%-4% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$9,800+51% · '00→'09
out-of-state $17,500SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.7%Median federal debt $11,920 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $42,647 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+44%
Missouri Western State University · completion · 150% rose
26.8% → 38.5%
+159%
Missouri Western State University · completion · 100% rose
8.8% → 22.8%
-53%
Missouri Western State University · undergrad enrollment fell
4,770 → 2,219
+51%
Missouri Western State University · in-state tuition rose
$3,026 → $4,562
+291%
Missouri Western State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$5,342 → $20,866
+399%
Missouri Western State University · median debt rose
$4,000 → $19,968
-100%
Missouri Western State University · cohort default rate fell
19.9% → 0.0%
-25%
Missouri Western State University · pell share fell
37.9% → 28.4%
+25%
Missouri Western State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$34,200 → $42,647
+26%
Missouri Western State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$32,600 → $40,961
+28%
Missouri Western State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$29,300 → $37,499
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$72,447Computer and Information Sciences, General.$65,401Accounting and Related Services.$60,816Health and Medical Administrative Services.$60,207Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$53,087Business Administration, Management and Operations.$50,170Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$49,458Biology, General.$48,681Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$46,279Criminal Justice and Corrections.$46,095Social Work.$44,133Parks, Recreation and Leisure Facilities Management.$41,623Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$39,329Psychology, General.$35,074
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
14 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Missouri Western State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$642,664
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 6
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $12,834
- HS-only baseline · MO
- $35,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Missouri Western State University graduates earn $X” — not “Missouri Western State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Missouri Western State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.