-31%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 31% at Truman State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (2.7k vs 3.9k).
Missouri · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Truman State University
Kirksville, Missouri. 2,666 undergraduate students. 50 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Truman State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Truman State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.8% → 0.0%).
-24%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Truman State University fell 24% between 2021 and 2024 (3.3k → 2.5k).
+13%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Truman State University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($16.4k → $18.6k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$56,280+28% · 6→10y
Missouri median $40,979$43,966
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry68.4%+15% · '97→'24
Missouri median 59.3%$16,679+137% · '97→'20
At program completion2,666-57% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS83.5%-0% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time80.0%+2% · '01→'24
latest cohort$9,470+82% · '00→'09
out-of-state $17,870SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.9%Median federal debt $16,679 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $56,280 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+73%
Truman State University · completion · 100% rose
33.4% → 57.6%
-57%
Truman State University · undergrad enrollment fell
5,911 → 2,513
+82%
Truman State University · in-state tuition rose
$3,680 → $6,692
+179%
Truman State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$6,664 → $18,566
+137%
Truman State University · median debt rose
$8,875 → $21,000
-100%
Truman State University · cohort default rate fell
3.6% → 0.0%
+23%
Truman State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$45,700 → $56,280
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Computer and Information Sciences, General.$101,211Accounting and Related Services.$97,613Business Administration, Management and Operations.$74,688Accounting and Related Services.$74,434Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$67,277Criminal Justice and Corrections.$59,263Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$57,756Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$57,668Biology, General.$53,239Communication and Media Studies.$52,801Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$50,757Psychology, General.$47,956Agriculture, General.$47,343History.$45,494Education, General.$45,277Fine and Studio Arts.$43,269Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$43,258English Language and Literature, General.$43,125Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$42,386Romance Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics.$41,641
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
20 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
AGRICULTURE · CIP 01
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Truman State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$732,839
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 6
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $11,125
- HS-only baseline · MO
- $35,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Truman State University graduates earn $X” — not “Truman State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Truman State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.