-8%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at Western Suffolk BOCES are 8% below 6-year earnings ($53.9k → $49.7k).
New York · Public · Predominantly certificates
Western Suffolk BOCES
Northport, New York. 274 undergraduate students. 5 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Western Suffolk BOCES
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+129%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Western Suffolk BOCES rose 129% between 2006 and 2009 (36.3% → 83.2%).
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Western Suffolk BOCES fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (5.5% → 0.0%).
+14%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Western Suffolk BOCES rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (250 → 286).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New York
Each tile compares this institution to the New York median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$49,667-8% · 6→10y
New York median $48,917$53,875
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry83.3%-17% · '98→'09
New York median 64.2%$9,500+169% · '97→'20
At program completion274
latest IPEDS90.5%-14% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—+7% · '01→'02
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.5%Median federal debt $9,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $49,667 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-14%
Western Suffolk BOCES · retention fell
98.0% → 84.1%
+143%
Western Suffolk BOCES · undergrad enrollment rose
0 → 286
+169%
Western Suffolk BOCES · median debt rose
$4,212 → $11,339
-100%
Western Suffolk BOCES · cohort default rate fell
15.0% → 0.0%
+150%
Western Suffolk BOCES · pell share rose
14.4% → 36.1%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
4 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
MECHANIC & REPAIR TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 47
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Western Suffolk BOCES
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Vehicle Maintenance and Repair Technologies · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Western Suffolk BOCES(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New York
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Western Suffolk BOCES graduates earn $X” — not “Western Suffolk BOCES makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Western Suffolk BOCES caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.