-34%
Private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Heritage Bible College are 34% below the private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($30.7k vs $46.2k).
North Carolina · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Heritage Bible College
Dunn, North Carolina. 28 undergraduate students. 5 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Heritage Bible College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+200%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Heritage Bible College rose 200% between 2022 and 2024 (33.3% → 100.0%).
+58%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Heritage Bible College rose 58% between 2006 and 2009 ($5.6k → $8.9k).
-27%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Heritage Bible College fell 27% between 2021 and 2024 (30 → 22).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. North Carolina
Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$30,672-1% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030$30,996
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry40.0%+260% · '98→'23
North Carolina median 46.1%—+69% · '97→'09
At program completion28-74% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS66.7%+54% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$8,688+107% · '02→'24
out-of-state $8,688SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+260%
Heritage Bible College · completion · 150% rose
11.1% → 40.0%
+54%
Heritage Bible College · retention rose
65.0% → 100.0%
-31%
Heritage Bible College · undergrad enrollment fell
84 → 22
+107%
Heritage Bible College · in-state tuition rose
$4,200 → $8,688
+107%
Heritage Bible College · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,200 → $8,688
+69%
Heritage Bible College · median debt rose
$5,250 → $8,875
-100%
Heritage Bible College · cohort default rate fell
23.0% → 0.0%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Heritage Bible College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Theology and Religious Vocations, Other · Bachelor's Degree at Heritage Bible College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in North Carolina
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Heritage Bible College graduates earn $X” — not “Heritage Bible College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Heritage Bible College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.