-44%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 44% at Northeastern State University vs the 2003–2007 baseline (4.6k vs 8.2k).
Oklahoma · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Northeastern State University
Tahlequah, Oklahoma. 4,636 undergraduate students. 94 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Northeastern State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Northeastern State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.5% → 0.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$45,379+10% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465$41,207
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry37.2%+18% · '97→'24
Oklahoma median 52.9%$12,000+395% · '97→'20
At program completion4,636+8% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS62.8%-8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time99.2%+19% · '01→'24
latest cohort$7,513+290% · '00→'24
out-of-state $16,633SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%Median federal debt $12,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $45,379 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+113%
Northeastern State University · completion · 100% rose
9.8% → 20.9%
+290%
Northeastern State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,003 → $7,810
+271%
Northeastern State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,658 → $17,290
+395%
Northeastern State University · median debt rose
$3,511 → $17,367
-100%
Northeastern State University · cohort default rate fell
17.6% → 0.0%
+25%
Northeastern State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$36,200 → $45,379
+32%
Northeastern State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$33,300 → $44,103
+37%
Northeastern State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$30,100 → $41,207
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Optometry.$128,096Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$99,835Business Administration, Management and Operations.$98,309Accounting and Related Services.$93,687Management Information Systems and Services.$89,588Computer Science.$82,556Quality Control and Safety Technologies/Technicians.$68,684Accounting and Related Services.$63,470Finance and Financial Management Services.$61,112Educational Administration and Supervision.$60,009Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$59,707Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$59,214Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$56,730Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$56,535Biology, General.$56,259Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$56,026Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$55,516Business Administration, Management and Operations.$53,647Public Health.$53,150Criminal Justice and Corrections.$51,366Social Work.$50,193Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$49,966Special Education and Teaching.$49,771Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$49,171
Showing top 24 of 32 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
32 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$44,719Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$49,966Educational Administration and Supervision.$60,009Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$56,730Special Education and Teaching.$49,771
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$53,647Accounting and Related Services.$63,470Business Administration, Management and Operations.$98,309Marketing.$41,549Finance and Financial Management Services.$61,112Accounting and Related Services.$93,687Management Information Systems and Services.$89,588
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Northeastern State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$1,170,583
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $12,083
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Northeastern State University graduates earn $X” — not “Northeastern State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Northeastern State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.