-25%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 25% at University of Central Oklahoma vs the 2003–2007 baseline (10.1k vs 13.5k).
Oklahoma · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Central Oklahoma
Edmond, Oklahoma. 10,132 undergraduate students. 134 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Central Oklahoma
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of Central Oklahoma fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.4% → 0.0%).
+33%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at University of Central Oklahoma rose 33% between 2021 and 2024 (12.5% → 16.6%).
+8%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at University of Central Oklahoma are 8% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($48.4k vs $44.9k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$48,351+12% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465$43,074
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry37.5%+46% · '97→'24
Oklahoma median 52.9%$13,000+367% · '97→'20
At program completion10,132+21% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS65.5%+5% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time81.8%-4% · '01→'24
latest cohort$8,522+355% · '00→'24
out-of-state $19,409SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.6%Median federal debt $13,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $48,351 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+46%
University of Central Oklahoma · completion · 150% rose
25.2% → 36.8%
+100%
University of Central Oklahoma · completion · 100% rose
8.3% → 16.6%
+21%
University of Central Oklahoma · undergrad enrollment rose
11,598 → 14,029
+355%
University of Central Oklahoma · in-state tuition rose
$1,936 → $8,818
+342%
University of Central Oklahoma · out-of-state tuition rose
$4,456 → $19,704
+367%
University of Central Oklahoma · median debt rose
$4,500 → $21,000
-100%
University of Central Oklahoma · cohort default rate fell
12.8% → 0.0%
+34%
University of Central Oklahoma · pell share rose
27.2% → 36.5%
+22%
University of Central Oklahoma · earnings_median_10yr rose
$39,700 → $48,351
+23%
University of Central Oklahoma · earnings_median_8yr rose
$36,500 → $44,951
+32%
University of Central Oklahoma · earnings_median_6yr rose
$32,700 → $43,074
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Computer and Information Sciences, General.$90,865Business Administration, Management and Operations.$87,428Mechanical Engineering.$86,068Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$78,665Accounting and Related Services.$74,550Management Information Systems and Services.$70,843Public Health.$68,494Educational Administration and Supervision.$67,349Non-Professional General Legal Studies (Undergraduate).$64,420Human Resources Management and Services.$64,103Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$63,946Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$62,659Chemistry.$62,487Finance and Financial Management Services.$62,055Foods, Nutrition, and Related Services.$61,541Design and Applied Arts.$59,192Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$58,395Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$57,733Business Administration, Management and Operations.$57,688Biology, General.$56,140Security Science and Technology.$56,046Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$55,611Special Education and Teaching.$54,517Criminal Justice and Corrections.$51,797
Showing top 24 of 46 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
46 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$46,112Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$51,142Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$58,395Educational Administration and Supervision.$67,349Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$55,611Special Education and Teaching.$49,592Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$51,012Special Education and Teaching.$54,517
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$57,688Finance and Financial Management Services.$62,055Accounting and Related Services.$74,550Business Administration, Management and Operations.$87,428Human Resources Management and Services.$64,103Marketing.$49,377Management Information Systems and Services.$70,843
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Central Oklahoma
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$223,623
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 15
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $20,039
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Central Oklahoma graduates earn $X” — not “University of Central Oklahoma makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Central Oklahoma caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.