-40%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 40% at Rose State College vs the 2003–2007 baseline (4.5k vs 7.6k).
Oklahoma · Public · Predominantly associate's
Rose State College
Midwest City, Oklahoma. 4,546 undergraduate students. 71 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Rose State College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Rose State College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.6% → 0.0%).
+16%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Rose State College rose 16% between 2017 and 2020 ($9.0k → $10.5k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Oklahoma
Each tile compares this institution to the Oklahoma median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$37,555+13% · 6→10y
Oklahoma median $38,465$33,124
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry20.8%+703% · '97→'24
Oklahoma median 52.9%$5,500+298% · '97→'20
At program completion4,546+9% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS59.6%+32% · '04→'23
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$5,032+357% · '00→'24
out-of-state $11,409SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.0%Median federal debt $5,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $37,555 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+350%
Rose State College · completion · 150% rose
2.5% → 20.0%
+32%
Rose State College · retention rose
45.0% → 59.6%
+357%
Rose State College · in-state tuition rose
$1,100 → $5,030
+319%
Rose State College · out-of-state tuition rose
$2,720 → $11,407
+298%
Rose State College · median debt rose
$2,625 → $10,453
-100%
Rose State College · cohort default rate fell
24.2% → 0.0%
+22%
Rose State College · pell share rose
23.9% → 29.1%
+20%
Rose State College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$27,500 → $33,124
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$73,996Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$66,301Computer and Information Sciences and Support Services, Other.$66,180Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$58,743Business/Commerce, General.$50,298Social Sciences, Other.$46,402Legal Support Services.$43,746Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$41,401Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$32,834Psychology, General.$32,387
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Rose State College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$171,761
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 11
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $12,566
- HS-only baseline · OK
- $33,800
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Oklahoma
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Rose State College graduates earn $X” — not “Rose State College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Rose State College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.