Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Prairie View A & M University rose 47% between 2006 and 2009 ($6.8k → $10.0k).
Prairie View, Texas. 8,527 undergraduate students. 67 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
Median federal debt at exit at Prairie View A & M University rose 47% between 2006 and 2009 ($6.8k → $10.0k).
100%-time completion at Prairie View A & M University rose 39% between 2021 and 2024 (14.6% → 20.3%).
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Median federal debt $17,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $45,411 (10y after entry).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
27.0% → 43.2%
8.2% → 20.3%
67.0% → 75.6%
4,933 → 8,877
$2,576 → $11,299
$9,116 → $26,874
$6,625 → $10,000
$37,600 → $45,411
$32,700 → $39,649
$28,500 → $36,350
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Prairie View A&M caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.