Nacogdoches, Texas. 8,746 undergraduate students. 119 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
UNITID 228431 · OPEID 003624 · IPEDS HDVINTAGE · COLLEGE SCORECARD · 2025-05 · HISTORY 1996–2024
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Stephen F Austin State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+43%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Stephen F Austin State University rose 43% between 2006 and 2009 ($6.6k → $9.5k).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+10%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Stephen F Austin State University rose 10% between 2021 and 2024 (35.3% → 38.9%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$49,634+15% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$43,144
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
51.7%+40% · '97→'24
Texas median 51.8%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$17,750+82% · '97→'09
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
8,746-14% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
71.3%+9% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
88.3%+39% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$10,600+350% · '00→'24
out-of-state $20,680
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.8%
0%8% · GE20%+
Median federal debt $17,750 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $49,634 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
UNDERGRAD · 1996–20248,728
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202453.3%
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2009$9,500
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+40%
Stephen F Austin State University · completion · 150% rose
38.1% → 53.3%
COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+126%
Stephen F Austin State University · completion · 100% rose
17.2% → 38.9%
IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+350%
Stephen F Austin State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,472 → $11,128
OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+177%
Stephen F Austin State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,464 → $23,426
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2009+82%
Stephen F Austin State University · median debt rose
$5,225 → $9,500
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+21%
Stephen F Austin State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$39,000 → $47,094
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+25%
Stephen F Austin State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$34,500 → $43,144
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Estimate the financial outcome at Stephen F Austin State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$218,477
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 14
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
Cost per year
$14,068
HS-only baseline · TX
$37,300
Years to complete
4
CIP family
30
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
“Stephen F Austin State University graduates earn $X” — not “Stephen F Austin State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Stephen F Austin State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.