-25%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Sul Ross State University are 25% below the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($41.9k vs $55.7k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Sul Ross State University
Alpine, Texas. 1,378 undergraduate students. 51 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Sul Ross State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+28%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Sul Ross State University rose 28% between 2006 and 2009 ($4.1k → $5.3k).
-22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 22% at Sul Ross State University vs the 2018–2022 baseline (1.4k vs 1.8k).
-13%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Sul Ross State University fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (1.6k → 1.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$41,871+22% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$34,340
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry27.4%+37% · '97→'24
Texas median 51.8%$11,000+43% · '97→'09
At program completion1,378-41% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS58.3%-10% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time95.6%+71% · '01→'24
latest cohort$7,592+206% · '00→'24
out-of-state $17,384SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%Median federal debt $11,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $41,871 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+37%
Sul Ross State University · completion · 150% rose
21.8% → 29.9%
+284%
Sul Ross State University · completion · 100% rose
5.7% → 21.8%
-10%
Sul Ross State University · retention fell
50.0% → 44.9%
-41%
Sul Ross State University · undergrad enrollment fell
2,355 → 1,396
+206%
Sul Ross State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,480 → $7,592
+98%
Sul Ross State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,930 → $17,672
+43%
Sul Ross State University · median debt rose
$3,713 → $5,300
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Sul Ross State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other · Bachelor's Degree at Sul Ross State University(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Sul Ross State University graduates earn $X” — not “Sul Ross State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Sul Ross State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.