Texas · Public · Predominantly bachelor's

University of Houston-Victoria

Victoria, Texas. 2,630 undergraduate students. 42 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at University of Houston-Victoria

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-15%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at University of Houston-Victoria fell 15% between 2021 and 2024 (3.0k → 2.5k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+74%

100%-time completion

100%-time completion at University of Houston-Victoria rose 74% between 2021 and 2024 (8.1% → 14.1%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+21%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at University of Houston-Victoria rose 21% between 2021 and 2024 (21.8% → 26.4%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-12%

Median federal debt at exit

Median federal debt at exit at University of Houston-Victoria fell 12% between 2017 and 2020 ($21.5k → $19.0k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Texas

Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$54,467+21% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$44,888
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
26.5%+48% · '16→'24
Texas median 51.8%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$13,565+245% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
2,630+243% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
61.3%+21% · '11→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
76.7%+135% · '10→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$7,499+28% · '10→'24
out-of-state $17,291
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.3%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $13,565 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,467 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 199620242,513
3,38871119962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 2016202426.4%
27%18%20162024
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$18,973
$21,500$5,50019972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 20162024+48%

University of Houston-Victoria · completion · 150% rose

17.8% → 26.4%

COMPLETION · 100% · 20162024+250%

University of Houston-Victoria · completion · 100% rose

4.0% → 14.1%

RETENTION · 20112024+21%

University of Houston-Victoria · retention rose

54.0% → 65.1%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024+243%

University of Houston-Victoria · undergrad enrollment rose

732 → 2,513

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+245%

University of Houston-Victoria · median debt rose

$5,500 → $18,973

PELL SHARE · 20082024+25%

University of Houston-Victoria · pell share rose

39.0% → 48.9%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+34%

University of Houston-Victoria · earnings_median_10yr rose

$40,500 → $54,467

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+32%

University of Houston-Victoria · earnings_median_8yr rose

$37,700 → $49,673

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+25%

University of Houston-Victoria · earnings_median_6yr rose

$35,800 → $44,888

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at University of Houston-Victoria

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$864,926
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 7
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 7year 0year 39
Cost per year
$6,767
HS-only baseline · TX
$37,300
Years to complete
6
CIP family
52

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

University of Houston-Victoria graduates earn $X” — not “University of Houston-Victoria makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Houston-Victoria caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →