-30%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at Texas Southern University are 30% below the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($38.9k vs $55.7k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Texas Southern
Houston, Texas. 6,619 undergraduate students. 80 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Texas Southern
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+20%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Texas Southern University rose 20% between 2021 and 2024 (5.7k → 6.8k).
+43%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Texas Southern University rose 43% between 2006 and 2009 ($6.6k → $9.5k).
-17%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Texas Southern University fell 17% between 2021 and 2024 (8.2% → 6.8%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$38,924+18% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$32,986
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry19.9%+183% · '97→'24
Texas median 51.8%$16,250+117% · '97→'09
At program completion6,619+7% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS57.0%+12% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time93.3%-2% · '08→'24
latest cohort$9,173+315% · '01→'24
out-of-state $21,773SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
5.6%Median federal debt $16,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $38,924 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+183%
Texas Southern · completion · 150% rose
7.8% → 22.2%
+1113%
Texas Southern · completion · 100% rose
0.6% → 6.8%
+12%
Texas Southern · retention rose
59.0% → 66.2%
+315%
Texas Southern · in-state tuition rose
$2,213 → $9,173
+144%
Texas Southern · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,792 → $21,473
+117%
Texas Southern · median debt rose
$4,375 → $9,500
+21%
Texas Southern · earnings_median_8yr rose
$30,400 → $36,745
+25%
Texas Southern · earnings_median_6yr rose
$26,400 → $32,986
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$139,367Law.$83,014Business Administration, Management and Operations.$80,773Criminal Justice and Corrections.$75,749Computer and Information Sciences, General.$65,875Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.$64,846Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$62,503Public Administration.$61,546Finance and Financial Management Services.$60,470Accounting and Related Services.$58,991Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$57,667Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$56,348Public Health.$54,775Political Science and Government.$54,608Psychology, General.$53,881Social Work.$52,740Criminal Justice and Corrections.$52,298Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$51,483Journalism.$51,133Business Administration, Management and Operations.$50,758Marketing.$50,742Chemistry.$50,038Air Transportation.$48,820Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$48,744
Showing top 24 of 31 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
31 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
TRANSPORTATION & MATERIALS MOVING · CIP 49
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Texas Southern
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$589,588
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 13
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $19,237
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 7
- CIP family
- 22
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Texas Southern graduates earn $X” — not “Texas Southern makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Texas Southern caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.