-13%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Texas Southmost College fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 (3.9k → 3.4k).
Texas · Public · Predominantly associate's
Texas Southmost College
Brownsville, Texas. 3,453 undergraduate students. 86 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Texas Southmost College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+43%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Texas Southmost College rose 43% between 2021 and 2024 (47.4% → 67.8%).
+24%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Texas Southmost College rose 24% between 2012 and 2015 (24.7% → 30.5%).
-11%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Texas Southmost College fell 11% between 2017 and 2020 ($10.1k → $9.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$41,900+23% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$33,992
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry26.8%-13% · '02→'15
Texas median 51.8%$6,125+243% · '97→'20
At program completion3,453+83% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS63.9%+1% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$3,148+68% · '00→'24
out-of-state $4,948SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
1.9%Median federal debt $6,125 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $41,900 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-33%
Texas Southmost College · completion · 100% fell
11.2% → 7.5%
+83%
Texas Southmost College · undergrad enrollment rose
1,844 → 3,372
+68%
Texas Southmost College · in-state tuition rose
$1,876 → $3,148
+243%
Texas Southmost College · median debt rose
$2,625 → $9,000
-28%
Texas Southmost College · pell share fell
39.4% → 28.4%
+27%
Texas Southmost College · earnings_median_10yr rose
$33,000 → $41,900
+25%
Texas Southmost College · earnings_median_8yr rose
$29,800 → $37,377
+38%
Texas Southmost College · earnings_median_6yr rose
$24,700 → $33,992
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Engineering Physics.$86,543Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$76,881Educational/Instructional Media Design.$72,566Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$71,417Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$67,810Curriculum and Instruction.$66,476Biology, General.$56,349Accounting and Related Services.$53,419History.$53,089Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$51,596Health and Physical Education/Fitness.$48,859Psychology, General.$45,244Criminal Justice and Corrections.$45,130Business Administration, Management and Operations.$43,903Criminal Justice and Corrections.$40,587Social Work.$40,062Sociology.$38,394Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$33,862Computer and Information Sciences, General.$33,233Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$28,407
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
20 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Texas Southmost College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$47,005
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $8,340
- HS-only baseline · TX
- $37,300
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Texas Southmost College graduates earn $X” — not “Texas Southmost College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Texas Southmost College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.