Washington · Public · Predominantly associate's

Skagit Valley College

Mount Vernon, Washington. 2,581 undergraduate students. 69 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Skagit Valley College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+22%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Skagit Valley College rose 22% between 2021 and 2024 ($4.4k → $5.4k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Skagit Valley College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.9% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+18%

Median federal debt at exit

Median federal debt at exit at Skagit Valley College rose 18% between 2017 and 2020 ($11.7k → $13.8k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-17%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at Skagit Valley College fell 17% between 2021 and 2024 (3.0k → 2.5k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Washington

Each tile compares this institution to the Washington median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$43,505+18% · 6→10y
Washington median $47,350
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$36,892
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
33.6%+48% · '97→'24
Washington median 46.8%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$8,798+426% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
2,581-48% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
-2% · '04→'14
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$5,620+220% · '00→'24
out-of-state $7,561
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

2.7%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $8,798 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $43,505 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 199620242,477
4,8012,31219962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997202436.1%
36%17%19972024
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$13,805
$13,805$2,62519972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972024+48%

Skagit Valley College · completion · 150% rose

24.4% → 36.1%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024-48%

Skagit Valley College · undergrad enrollment fell

4,801 → 2,477

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+220%

Skagit Valley College · in-state tuition rose

$1,686 → $5,400

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+426%

Skagit Valley College · median debt rose

$2,625 → $13,805

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Skagit Valley College · cohort default rate fell

16.8% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 20082024+69%

Skagit Valley College · pell share rose

12.5% → 21.1%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+33%

Skagit Valley College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$32,600 → $43,505

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+41%

Skagit Valley College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$29,200 → $41,294

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+42%

Skagit Valley College · earnings_median_6yr rose

$26,000 → $36,892

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Skagit Valley College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
-$30,541
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
graduationyear 0year 39
Cost per year
$5,980
HS-only baseline · WA
$41,200
Years to complete
2
CIP family
24

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Skagit Valley College graduates earn $X” — not “Skagit Valley College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Skagit Valley College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →