-40%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences fell 40% between 2021 and 2024 (83.3% → 50.0%).
Idaho · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences
Burley, Idaho. 38 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (20.7% → 0.0%).
-14%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences are 14% below 6-year earnings ($22.3k → $19.1k).
-46%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences fell 46% between 2017 and 2020 ($19.5k → $10.6k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Idaho
Each tile compares this institution to the Idaho median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$19,120-14% · 6→10y
Idaho median $30,543$22,290
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry83.3%+26% · '06→'09
Idaho median 64.1%$6,790+119% · '08→'20
At program completion38+111% · '05→'24
latest IPEDS84.6%-39% · '05→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.7%Median federal debt $6,790 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $19,120 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+26%
Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences · completion · 150% rose
75.0% → 94.4%
-39%
Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences · retention fell
82.0% → 50.0%
+119%
Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences · median debt rose
$4,822 → $10,556
-100%
Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences · cohort default rate fell
21.0% → 0.0%
+122%
Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences · pell share rose
33.3% → 74.0%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Idaho
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences graduates earn $X” — not “Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Cosmetology School of Arts & Sciences caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.