-20%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at University of St Francis fell 19% between 2021 and 2024 (1.5k → 1.2k).
Illinois · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
University of St Francis
Joliet, Illinois. 1,292 undergraduate students. 77 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of St Francis
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of St Francis fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.0% → 0.0%).
+28%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at University of St Francis rose 28% between 2021 and 2024 (39.8% → 50.9%).
-11%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at University of St Francis fell 11% between 2017 and 2020 ($23.7k → $21.1k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$63,926+13% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810$56,648
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry64.6%+30% · '97→'24
Illinois median 53.3%$16,500+140% · '97→'20
At program completion1,292-58% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS73.4%+8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time63.9%-18% · '01→'24
latest cohort$37,000+172% · '00→'24
out-of-state $37,000SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $16,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $63,926 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+30%
University of St Francis · completion · 150% rose
51.5% → 66.8%
+50%
University of St Francis · completion · 100% rose
33.9% → 50.9%
-58%
University of St Francis · undergrad enrollment fell
2,890 → 1,223
+172%
University of St Francis · in-state tuition rose
$13,990 → $38,110
+172%
University of St Francis · out-of-state tuition rose
$13,990 → $38,110
+140%
University of St Francis · median debt rose
$8,793 → $21,079
-100%
University of St Francis · cohort default rate fell
2.8% → 0.0%
+76%
University of St Francis · pell share rose
22.3% → 39.3%
+40%
University of St Francis · earnings_median_10yr rose
$45,500 → $63,926
+39%
University of St Francis · earnings_median_8yr rose
$45,100 → $62,784
+36%
University of St Francis · earnings_median_6yr rose
$41,700 → $56,648
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Educational Administration and Supervision.$137,288Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$132,489Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$128,313Health and Medical Administrative Services.$96,800Health and Medical Administrative Services.$89,742Business Administration, Management and Operations.$89,279Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$87,282Educational Administration and Supervision.$83,550Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$74,400Biology, General.$68,692Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods.$68,064Human Resources Management and Services.$65,341Curriculum and Instruction.$64,512Social Work.$52,694Social Work.$50,385Criminal Justice and Corrections.$47,897Parks, Recreation and Leisure Facilities Management.$38,999
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
17 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
EDUCATION · CIP 13
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$87,282Health and Medical Administrative Services.$89,742Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$132,489Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$128,313Health and Medical Administrative Services.$96,800Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.$74,400
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of St Francis
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$252,316
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 14
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $15,264
- HS-only baseline · IL
- $38,300
- Years to complete
- 6
- CIP family
- 13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of St Francis graduates earn $X” — not “University of St Francis makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of St Francis caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.