River Forest, Illinois. 1,337 undergraduate students. 104 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
UNITID 144351 · OPEID 001666 · IPEDS HDVINTAGE · COLLEGE SCORECARD · 2025-05 · HISTORY 1996–2024
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Concordia University-Chicago
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-20%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Concordia University-Chicago fell 20% between 2021 and 2024 (36.0% → 28.6%).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Concordia University-Chicago fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.9% → 0.0%).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-16%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Concordia University-Chicago fell 16% between 2021 and 2024 (43.1% → 36.5%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Illinois
Each tile compares this institution to the Illinois median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$54,089+22% · 6→10y
Illinois median $40,810
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$44,405
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
47.4%-40% · '98→'24
Illinois median 53.3%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$14,000+156% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
1,337+3% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
62.5%-14% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
93.4%+227% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$36,258+171% · '00→'24
out-of-state $36,258
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%
0%8% · GE20%+
Median federal debt $14,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,089 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Concordia University-Chicago · earnings_median_10yr rose
$41,300 → $54,089
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Estimate the financial outcome at Concordia University-Chicago
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$501,397
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 10
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
Cost per year
$17,318
HS-only baseline · IL
$38,300
Years to complete
6
CIP family
13
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Illinois
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
“Concordia University-Chicago graduates earn $X” — not “Concordia University-Chicago makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Concordia University-Chicago caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.