-43%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Chief Dull Knife College fell 43% between 2006 and 2009 (78.6% → 44.8%).
Montana · Public · Predominantly associate's
Chief Dull Knife College
Lame Deer, Montana. 226 undergraduate students. 6 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Chief Dull Knife College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+42%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Chief Dull Knife College rose 42% between 2021 and 2024 (129 → 183).
-24%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Chief Dull Knife College fell 24% between 2022 and 2024 (83.3% → 63.6%).
-13%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Chief Dull Knife College fell 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($2.3k → $2.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Montana
Each tile compares this institution to the Montana median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$20,073+8% · 6→10y
Montana median $40,738$18,636
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—-50% · '01→'09
Montana median 46.1%—
At program completion226+40% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS50.0%-12% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$2,260+13% · '01→'24
out-of-state $2,260SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
-50%
Chief Dull Knife College · completion · 150% fell
88.9% → 44.8%
-12%
Chief Dull Knife College · retention fell
72.0% → 63.6%
+26%
Chief Dull Knife College · undergrad enrollment rose
131 → 183
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Chief Dull Knife College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$42,982
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 25
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $10,411
- HS-only baseline · MT
- $35,800
- Years to complete
- 2
- CIP family
- 24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Montana
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Chief Dull Knife College graduates earn $X” — not “Chief Dull Knife College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Chief Dull Knife College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.